8.5 European colonialism
The Iberian expansion did not pass unnoticed in northwestern Europe; if the Spanish could join in, why not others? The English king was already backing expeditions across the Atlantic in the late 1490s, and his French counterpart followed suit in the 1520s. Although their initial efforts did not have much effect, by the seventeenth century the northwestern Europeans—the French and, still more, the English and the Dutch—had taken over much of the commercial and naval role of the Iberians. This was based in part on a new and more effective naval technology ancPin kart on economic advantages. Though the Portuguese retained some of their outposts, naval dominance on the Indian Ocean was largely lost to the newcomers. In the New World the Spanish held on to their territorial empire, as did the Portuguese in Brazil; but the English and Dutch played an increasing role as interlopers, whether as pirates or as traders.
The participation of these new peoples in the European expansion certainly increased its impact on the non-European world. The establishment of colonies in temperate North America and eventually Australia greatly extended the range of European settlement (the former were remarkable not only for their early attainment of independence in 1776-83 but also for their proceeding to constitute themselves a republic). At the same time the non-European parts of the Old World were exposed to empire builders better able, or eventually more disposed, to conquer indigenous territorial states. But the fact is that down to about 1800—which is as far as we need look in this chapter—the only part of the Old World where this had actually happened on a large scale was India. Here in the second half of the eighteenth century, against the background of the collapse of the Moghul hegemony and the rivalries of the European powers, the British laid the foundations of the first western European territorial empire to appear in Asia or Africa. They also set about the first serious study of Indian culture since Binini (the Bhagavad Gatti was translated into English in 1784).

All in all, the Eurasian maritime expansion was a clear instance of an accident waiting to happen. Sooner or later, some Eurasian people was bound to intrude into the New World and the Antipodes, with shattering effects on their existing populations. In the event, the intruders were western Europeans; but we should probably not think of this outcome as deeply determined by the course of Eurasian history. Nor should we see the gap between the western Europeans and other Old World populations of this period as a chasm. In the middle of the seventeenth century the Omanis, the Muslim tribal population of southeastern Arabia, happened to capture some European ships at the end of a long struggle against their infidel Portuguese enemies. At their ruler's behest, they used the ships to establish an Omani navy, and went on to engage in commerce, warfare, and colonization in the western Indian Ocean; they did so with a zest that put them at least in the same league as the Portuguese.
If the inhabitants of an arid corner of Arabia could join the maritime club in this fashion, then surely the denizens of more favored lands could have done so too. As we have already seen, the extent of Chinese and Japanese maritime activity in the sixteenth century was considerable. There were many more Chinese than Spanish in Manila when the Chinese rebelled against their Spanish rulers in 1603; there were also a good many Japanese, who played their part in suppressing the Chinese rebellion but themselves threatened revolt in 1606. Indeed, one nightmare scenario entertained by a Spanish governor in Manila in 1605 was that the Japanese would update their navigation and gunnery through contact with the Dutch, and then mount an invasion of the Philippines. This did not happen, though in 1616 one rich Japanese made an abortive attempt to conquer Taiwan. For in contrast to the rulers of Oman, those of China and Japan did not throw the weight of the state behind an East Asian maritime expansion. In 1567 the Chinese state finally abandoned its policy of trying to suppress Chinese participation in overseas trade, and instead began to tolerate it; but it did not go so far as to support it. In Japan feudal anarchy through much of the sixteenth century meant that merchants and pirates could find a variety of local patrons; but the restoration of central government led in due course to the suppression of Japanese maritime activity, not to its encouragement. Although such policies can be explained in terms of the geopolitical structure of East Asia and the traditional agrarian focus of Confucian political culture, the fact remains that at least in the Japanese case the outcome was by no means inevitable. The point is not trivial. Had East Asian mariners received the vigorous backing of their rulers in the early modern period, the world we live in today would be a significantly different place. For a start, the ethnic makeup of the Pacific Rim might be overwhelmingly East Asian (a type of impact the Omanis could not have had in the purely Old World environment of the western Indian Ocean). The plain truth is that a large part of the world was up for grabs. That the western Europeans got so much of it is a distinctly contingent fact.